I found some time between work and threw some die,
preciesly for 400 times more,
now the random skill battle numbers are 500.. and here are the results.
AFTER 500 matches played in random,
The average total skill level of the 15 player red team is : 750,45
The average total skill level of the 14 player Gren team is : 698,86
The average for the players A, B, C, D, E and F can be respectively found adding their skill levels, but anyway here they are,
748.86, 758.86, 768.86, 778.86, 788.86 and 798,86
First of all, total rofflstomps,
The red team won, %37,80 of the matches, regardless the last player we are looking for.
Green Team won, %38,20 of the matches, even they are 14vs15.
So, our constant player, cannot and will not change the outcome of his %37,80 losses and cannot make his team loose the %38,20 of the matches.
the turnback numbers for our players are,
When we add them into the equation,
Player A, turned 55 of the losses into the wins, and he has a total of %49,20 WR by winning 246 out of 500
Player B, turned 66 of the losses into the wins, and he has a total of %51,40 WR by winning 257 out of 500
Player C, turned 81 of the losses into the wins, and he has a total of %54,40 WR by winning 272 out of 500
Player D, turned 99 of the losses into the wins, and he has a total of %58,00 WR by winning 290 out of 500
Player E, turned 105 of the losses into the wins, and he has a total of %59,20 WR by winning 296 out of 500
and finally, our ubersuperultraunicumpurple player F,
Turned 119 of the losses into the wins and he has a total of %62 WR by winning 310 out of 500
And the turn rates for the players, (turning losses into the wins, calculated by, (total number of the games that the player turned divided by the total number of the games the player turned plus total number of the games the red team won))
A: can turn losses into wins with %17.80 probability
B: can turn losses into wins with %21.36 probability
C: can turn losses into wins with %26,21 probability
D: can turn losses into wins with %31,04 probabilty
E: can turn losses into wins with %33,98 probabilty
F: can turn losses into wins with %38,51 probabilty
Some numbers for people who are interested,
Median of the R team skill : 748
Median of the 14 people G team skill: 695
Standard Deviation of R team for 500 matches: 120,03
Standard Deviation of G (14) for 500 matches: 108,42
We have 1 Draw in 500 matches.. at the initial start and green team wins when the player A joins.
Discuss!, what you make of these numbers?
God! I love playing with numbers!
Edited by Excavatus, 20 April 2017 - 01:01 PM.